Publication List: Edmund K.M. Chang

Published Peer-reviewed publications:

Storm track variability and trends:

Colle, B.A., Z. Zhang, K.A. Lombardo, E.K.M. Chang, P. Liu, M. Zhang, and S. Hameed, 2012: Historical and future predictions of eastern North America and western Atlantic extratropical cyclones in CMIP5 during the cool season, J. Climate, submitted.

Chang, E.K.M., Y. Guo, X. Xia*, and M. Zheng*, 2013: Storm track activity in IPCC AR4/CMIP3 model simulations. J. Climate, 26, 246-, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00707.1.

Chang, E.K.M., Y. Guo, and X. Xia*, 2012: CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projection of storm track change under global warming. J. Geophys. Research, 117, D23118, doi:10.1029/2012JD018578.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y. Guo, 2012: Is Pacific storm-track activity correlated with the strength of upstream wave seeding? J. Climate, 25, 5768-5776.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y. Guo, 2011: Comments on “The source of the midwinter suppression in storminess over the North Pacific”, J. Climate, 24, 5187-5191.

Guo, Y*, E.K.M. Chang, and S.S. Leroy, 2009: How strong are the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks? Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L22806, doi:10.1029/2009GL040733.

Chang, E.K.M., 2009: Are band-pass variance statistics useful measures of storm track activity? Re-examining storm track variability associated with the NAO using multiple storm track measures. Climate Dynamics, 33, 277-296, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-009-0532-9.

Guo, Y*, and E.K.M. Chang, 2008: Impacts of assimilation of satellite and rawinsonde observations on Southern Hemisphere baroclinic wave activity in the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. J. Climate, 21, 3290-3309.

Chang, E.K.M., 2007: Assessing the increasing trend in Northern Hemisphere winter storm track activity using surface ship observations and statistical storm track model. J. Climate, 20, 5607-5628.

Chang, E.K.M., 2005: Effects of secular changes in frequency of observations and observational errors on monthly mean MSLP summary statistics derived from ICOADS. J. Climate, 18, 3623-3633.

Chang, E.K.M., 2004: Are the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks significantly correlated? J. Climate, 17, 4230-4244.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y.F. Fu, 2003: Using Mean flow change as a proxy to infer interdecadal storm track variability. J. Climate, 16, 2178-2196.

Chang, E.K.M., 2003: Midwinter suppression of the Pacific storm track activity as seen in aircraft observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 1345-1358.

Harnik, N., and E.K.M. Chang, 2003: Storm track variations as seen in radiosonde observations and reanalysis data. J. Climate, 16, 480-495.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y.F. Fu, 2002: Inter-decadal variations in Northern Hemisphere winter storm track intensity. J. Climate, 15, 642-658.

Chang, E.K.M., 2001: GCM and observational diagnoses of the seasonal and interannual variations of the Pacific storm track during the cool season. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1784-1800.

Storm track dynamics:

Chang, E.K.M., and W. Lin, 2011: Comments on “The role of the central Asian mountains on the midwinter suppression of North Pacific storminess”, J. Atmos. Sci., 68, 2800-2803.

Chang, E.K.M., 2009: Diabatic and orographic forcing of northern winter stationary waves and storm tracks. J. Climate, 22, 670-688.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y. Guo*, 2007: Dynamics of the stationary anomalies associated with the interannual variability of the mid-winter Pacific storm track – the roles of tropical heating and remote eddy forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 2442-2461.

Chang, E.K.M., and P. Zurita-Gotor, 2007: Simulating the Seasonal Cycle of the Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks Using Idealized Nonlinear Storm Track Models. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 2309-2331.

Chang, E.K.M., 2006: An idealized nonlinear model of the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1818-1839.

Zurita-Gotor, P., and E.K.M. Chang, 2005: The impact of zonal propagation and seeding on the eddy-mean flow equilibrium of a zonally varying two-layer model. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2261-2273.

Harnik, N., and E.K.M. Chang, 2004: The effects of variations in jet width on the growth of baroclinic waves: Implications for midwinter Pacific stormtrack variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 23-40.

Chang, E.K.M., S. Lee, and K.L. Swanson, 2002: Storm track dynamics. J. Climate, 15, 2163-2183.

Chang, E.K.M., 2001: GCM and observational diagnoses of the seasonal and interannual variations of the Pacific storm track during the cool season. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1784-1800.

Chang, E.K.M., and I. Orlanski, 1993: On the Dynamics of a Storm Track. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 999-1015.

Extratropical cyclones, baroclinic waves, and wave packets:

Zheng, M.*, E.K.M. Chang, and B.A. Colle, 2012: Ensemble sensitivity tools for assessing extratropical cyclone intensity and track predictability. Wea. And Forecasting, submitted.

Chang, E.K.M., M. Zheng,*, and K. Raeder, 2013: Medium range ensemble sensitivity analysis of two extreme Pacific extratropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 211-231, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00304.1.

Chang, E.K.M., and S. Song*, 2006: The seasonal cycles in the distribution of precipitation around cyclones in the western North Pacific and Atlantic. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 815-839.

Chang, E.K.M., 2005: The impact of wave packets propagating across Asia on Pacific cyclone development. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1998-2015.

Chang, E.K.M., 2005: The role of wave packets in wave/mean flow interactions during Southern Hemisphere summer. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2467-2483.

Harnik, N., and E.K.M. Chang, 2004: The effects of variations in jet width on the growth of baroclinic waves: Implications for midwinter Pacific stormtrack variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 23-40.

Chang, E.K.M., 2001: The structure of baroclinic wave packets. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1694-1713.

Chang, E.K.M., 2000: Wave packets and life cycles of baroclinic waves: Examples from the Southern Hemisphere summer season of 84/85. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 25-50.

Chang, E.K.M., and D.B. Yu**, 1999: Characteristics of wave packets in the upper troposphere. Part I: Northern hemisphere winter. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 1708-1728.

Chang, E.K.M., 1999: Characteristics of wave packets in the upper troposphere. Part II: Hemispheric and seasonal differences. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 1729-1747.

Chang, E.K.M., and I. Orlanski, 1994: On Energy Flux and Group Velocity of Waves in Baroclinic Flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 3823-3828.

Orlanski, I., and E.K.M. Chang, 1993: Ageostrophic Geopotential Fluxes in Downstream and Upstream Development of Baroclinic Waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 212-225.

Chang, E.K.M., 1993: Downstream Development of Baroclinic Waves as Inferred from Regression Analysis. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2038-2053.

Chang. E.K.M., 1992: Resonating Neutral Modes of the Eady Model. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 2452-2463.

Wave/mean flow interactions:

Yang, X.*, and E.K.M. Chang, 2007: Eddy-zonal flow feedback in the Southern Hemisphere winter and summer. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 3091-3112.

Yang, X.*, and E.K.M. Chang, 2006: Variability of the Southern Hemisphere split flow – a case of two way reinforcement between mean flow and eddy anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 634-650.

Chang, E.K.M., 2005: The role of wave packets in wave/mean flow interactions during Southern Hemisphere summer. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2467-2483.

Chang, E.K.M., 1998: Poleward propagating angular momentum perturbations induced by zonally symmetric heat sources in the Tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 2229-2248.

Chang, E.K.M., 1996: Mean Meridional Circulation Driven by Eddy Forcings of Different Time Scales. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 113-125.

Tropical/extratropical interactions, tropical meteorology:

Chang, E.K.M., and Y. Guo*, 2008: Reply to comment by Lennart Bengtsson and Kevin I. Hodges on “Is the number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones significantly underestimated prior to the availability of Satellite observations?”, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L09811, doi:10.1029/2007GL032936.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y. Guo*, 2007: Is the number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones significantly underestimated prior to the availability of satellite observations? Geophys. Res. Letts., 34, L14801, doi: 10.1029/2007GL030169.

Chang, E.K.M., and Y. Guo*, 2007: Dynamics of the stationary anomalies associated with the interannual variability of the mid-winter Pacific storm track – the roles of tropical heating and remote eddy forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 2442-2461.

Chang, E.K.M., 1998: Poleward propagating angular momentum perturbations induced by zonally symmetric heat sources in the Tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 2229-2248.

Chang, E.K.M., 1995: The Influence of Hadley Circulation Intensity Changes on Extratropical Climate in an idealized model. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2006-2024.

Astrophysics:

Chang, K.M., and J.P. Ostriker, 1985: Standing Shocks in Accretion Flows onto Black Holes. Astrophysical J., 288, 428-437.

Chang, K.M., 1985: The Number of Critical Points in Polytropic Accretion onto Black Holes. Astronomy and Astrophysics, 142, 212-213.

Knapp, G.R., and K.M. Chang, 1985: Mass Loss from Evolved Stars. V. Observations of the 12CO and 13CO J=1-0 lines in Mira Variables and Carbon Stars. Astrophysical J., 293, 281-287.

Ratcliff, S.J., K.M. Chang, and M. Schwarzschild, 1984: Stellar Orbits in Angle Variables. Astrophysical J., 279, 610-620.

Chang, K.M., and N.D. Kylafis, 1983: Spectral and Temporal Effects of a Plasma Shell around an X-ray Source. Astrophysical J., 265, 1005-1020.

Yung, Y.L., G.R. Gladstone, K.M. Chang, J.M. Ajello, and S.K. Srivastava, 1982: H2 Fluorescence Spectrum from 1200 to 1700 A by Electron Impact: Laboratory Study and Application to Jovian Aurora. Astrophysical J., 254, L65-L69.

*: Graduate student

**: Undergraduate student

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Atmospheric Sciences at Stony Brook